How hurricanes and their strength distribution and spatial distribution will develop is highly uncertain. However it is fully certain that rising water temperature in the Caribbean leads to more water evaporation. What will goes up will come down, somewhere. If more goes up more goes down, for certain. Where is highly uncertain again,, sometimes here and sometimes there, from Houston to the Arctic.
Gjalt Huppes says
How hurricanes and their strength distribution and spatial distribution will develop is highly uncertain. However it is fully certain that rising water temperature in the Caribbean leads to more water evaporation. What will goes up will come down, somewhere. If more goes up more goes down, for certain. Where is highly uncertain again,, sometimes here and sometimes there, from Houston to the Arctic.